There is a substantial risk of loss associated with trading Derivatives . Losses can and will occur. My methods will not ensure profits

Thursday, October 30, 2014

30102014



Did not trade yesterday. Today Nifty opened within previous day range. Broke PDH and BRN. Long on BPB of BRN. Trailed and stopped out at RN 8150. Did not take any trade in the afternoon as today is contract expiry. From tomorrow Nifty Futures lot size changes to 25

35 comments:

  1. Thanks ST,
    Did not trade today
    I closed the second month with 4% loss .
    First month it was 5 % loss .
    Is it normal or am I doing something terribly wrong

    thanks n rgds
    Kishore

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is normal. With 4% a month, you can survive for 2 years in the market and learn
      Most of the novice derivative traders will not last for 3 months.
      If price moves start making sense to you, Nothing to worry. It is just a matter of time.

      ST

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    2. Yes ST,
      I can feel the improvement . and price action has started making sense .

      thanks
      Kishore

      Delete
    3. And thank god lot size reduction is a blessing for people like me ...

      thanks
      Kishore

      Delete
  2. Hi ST,
    Please comment on my yesterdays trades
    http://tradingdecisionpoints.blogspot.com/2014/10/29-10-2014-trade-1-bof-long-scracthed.html

    rgds
    Kishore

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Nothing much can be done yesterday. There was no price move

      ST

      Delete
  3. Hi ST
    What is going to be your strategy from tomorrow as the lot size is getting reduced??

    Thanks
    TBP

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Currently I am trading 50 and occasionally 100 for good signals
      Still all in all out.Need to work on partial exits

      ST

      Delete
  4. Please confirm whether the lot size change in NF for all 3 months or Jan month only?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is for all months.
      If you are holding Nov contract 1 lot ( 50 Nos), it becomes 2 lots automatically
      Tomorrow you can sell half of it if you want

      ST

      Delete
  5. Hi ST,

    I am facing serious issue with SL. Today i've trailed my SL to 10:12 candle (8108) assuming that pull back as a minor swing point and the SL was triggered at 10:33 candle. Can you please advise how did you do your SL trail on today's trade.

    Thank you,
    Kiran.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Start trailing after price moves say 20 points in your favor unless it is not hitting a DP or trouble area
      Consider the quality of entry also. Today price went above PDH, a major change. Broke BRN an important Option strike. This level is likely to get protected being an expiry day. Your risk was low and behind BRN and PDH, two important levels. There was a lot of space above. What is the point in protecting your 5 point profit?. You rarely get these kind of trades. Give it a little room to play out

      ST

      Delete
    2. ST,
      Whats was your SL at 10 30 ?

      rgds
      Kishore

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    3. My physical stop was below PDH.
      You can have a disaster physical SL at a distance and have a mental SL
      This way you can escape some unwanted stop outs

      ST


      ST

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    4. Hi ST,
      I couldnt understand it .
      What is physical SL and mental SL.
      Kindly elaborate

      thanks
      Kishore

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    5. Physical means I feed a SL order in the system
      I will always have one for emergency situations to avoid disaster
      Mental means I will identify a level beyond which I decide to exit
      This is done by clicking square off button

      ST

      Delete
    6. Hi ST,
      Thanks for the nice explanation. In this case, where was your mental SL, was it below BRN?

      Delete
    7. In this particular case I will think of exiting below BRN if price reversed

      ST


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  6. Can you explain the thought process behind the BPB trade that you took. There was a big green candle which went above the BRN, then a small red candle which fell below the BRN and then a small green candle which only went marginally above BRN. Infact on my charts the green candle closed at 8101.3. You went long above this candle. How were you sure that the price has been accepted above the BRN?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Price was in a range yesterday and broke it after 3 PM . Just 10 point move up then
      Today gaped down a little and retested the yesterday range high.Initial move was up, DO and LOD same
      Broke IR MC, Broke PDC,PDH, IRH and BRN. Climbed above PDH and entered a new area. major transition.
      Settlement day.price showing bullishness. Broke above Option strike level.Level may get defended strongly
      Daily in Rally, Price in a higher range than yesterday. Likely to move into a higher range, Lot of space above, Critical mass is not long to look for profit booking, Risk is 7-8 points with SL below PDH. Not enough to take a chance?

      ST

      Delete
  7. "Start trailing after price moves say 20 points in your favor unless it is not hitting a DP or trouble area"

    did you meant "hitting" instead of "not hitting".

    If I am wrong could you please rephrase the sentence .. :) ..

    thanks a lot

    rgds
    Kishore

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If price bounces of a DP, I will always exit on the break of a swing point
      I will never wait for a complex pull back or a TRAP

      ST

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    2. So if its not near a DP you wont exit below a swing low if we are not in 20 point profit ?

      rgds
      Kishore

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    3. It depends on other factors also
      Cant make rules like that.Basically we are trading DP to DP

      ST

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  8. Dear ST,
    Day by day I am getting some feel of the market from concepts learned from here.
    I have some questions asking just for curiosity.
    You are getting most of the time 20 or 30 points profit and your lot size is 50.
    Is it enough for trade for living?. I have confusion how much profit are u getting.
    Regards,
    Nagendra

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. No . My trading income is not sufficient to meet my expenses as of now.
      I have other sources of income to fall back.Do not try to trade for a living unless you have sufficient capital that you are willing to lose and enough reserves to run your home for at least two years

      ST



      Delete
  9. Dear Capitalstars,

    I visit Nifty Nirvana to gain some knowledge, certainly not seeking any tips. Since you have visited here, my sincere advice to you is to spend some quality time going through this blog. Read all the posts of ST Sir, visit all sections including the comments, download all available resources to read offline.

    Believe me, in a few weeks' time you will be good enough to earn a decent living by trading Nifty futures via DP method. You can confidently give up your tipster life and you no longer have to lure gullible traders to your tips trap to make a living.

    This is the right time to start as the Nifty lot size has been reduced. You can learn to trade the method with less risk.

    All the best,
    KSG

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. KSG
      I am getting at least 2-3 comments from tipsters everyday
      I am moderating and deleting all those

      ST

      Delete
  10. Good Morning ST,
    With zerodha, if I buy and sell 2 lots of Nify (25x2) the brokerage, etc. should not change because it is all in and all out, am I correct?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Brokerage will remain the same

      ST

      Delete
    2. Thanks ST. Just changed the order preferences in Zerodha trader to default 2 lots, that way I wont be caught selling 2 and covering one :)

      Delete
  11. Hi ST
    Found this on Zerodha

    http://zerodha.com/z-connect/zerodha/bulletin-latest-at-zerodha/lot-sizes-reduced-for-various-nse-fo-contracts

    Thanks
    TBP

    ReplyDelete

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